As we dry out form some of the hefty downpours this Sunday, we had a small taste of what’s in store for this work week. Of course we’re used to some afternoon popcorn variety storms, but we’ll see quite a bit more starting overnight Sunday and into Monday. You can point the blame at a very active northern branch of the jet stream, not typical for this time of year.
The jet stream does a couple things for our weather. Roughly defines, it’s a fast moving river of air at about 30,000 feet above out heads, where jets fly. This current helps to separate very cold and dry blobs of air from very warm and moist blobs of air. Secondly, it helps to steer any upper level “storm impulses” in our “ocean” of air above our heads. These counter-clockwise spins in the upper levels usually interact with the cold and warm air at the surface to form low pressure systems with associated cold fronts and warm fronts. This time of year, the sun’s most direct rays beating down in the northern hemisphere, so we tend to heat more of the country and the jet stream is pushed north into Canada. Thanks to prevailing weather patterns and stubborn flow, the jet stream will be making its appearance pretty far south into the lower Mississippi Valley this week.
The dipping jet in our case will not bring that cool and dry air to us, but it will steer those upper level impulses just to our north just about daily for the majority of our work week. These will try to spark low pressure systems at the surface, and that means more rain for us. Rounds of showers and storms will form south of the jet and the mid level flow will push them from a general north to south direction from Arkansas into Louisiana. Expect off and on stormy activity through primarily the daylight hours Monday-Thursday. We happen to be sitting in a prime area for these storms to advance, feeding off our warm moist air as the progress southward.
Any of the storms that do form will contain very hefty downpours that can and likely will cause some flooding to poor drainage areas and low lying locations as well. Some storms will produce some gusty winds as well, which could cause damage. Expect frequent lightning in many of the storms and of course any storm has the potential to produce damaging hail. The threat for a tornado is minimal, but cannot be ruled out due to the changing wind speed and direction from the surface of the earth to the top of “weather producing” sky, known as the tropopause.
To prepare for the wet weather, an umbrella or rain coat would be a great idea. It wouldn’t hurt to check the yard for toys and objects that could float away or be blown away. Just be aware of the weather for the next few days, and keep it on KPLC for the latest weather updates.
-Meteorologist Jeff Jumper
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