Skies have begun clearing this morning in the wake of a cold front that moved through overnight. This front brought a narrow line of quick passing showers to parts of the area before sunrise, and cooler temperatures to our northern viewing area. However, this break in the rain and warmer temperatures is very short lived as moisture and clouds will begin spilling back into the area later tonight. Then the forecast begins to get a bit complicated.
The front that moved through this morning will actually stall out today and lift back north as a warm front Tuesday night. This, combined with an upper level disturbance moving through SE Texas, will result in numerous showers and thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon and evening.
We will likely see a lull in the rain late Tuesday night, but it’s not over yet! The grand finale will come Wednesday afternoon/evening in the form of another cold front and associated low pressure center that will track near SW Louisiana Wednesday. The atmosphere will be so juicy that another heavy rain/flash flooding scenario could be the result in a few locations Wednesday. Conservative estimates of 1-2 inches of rain look likely with locally higher totals.
There is also the concern for the potential for some storms to turn severe on Wednesday. While all the ingredients aren’t necessarily coming into play to signal a severe weather outbreak on Wednesday, I won’t rule out a few isolated severe storms with the main concern being damaging wind gusts and/or a few tornadoes. Rain will come to an end on Thursday behind the front, and temperatures will drop back to seasonal averages by the end of the week.
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